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Monday, March 19, 2007

CPNE: Very Healthy in Our Opinion

Surrounded by a swarm of investor uncertainty, Commerce Planet Inc. (OTCBB: CPNE) continues to conduct business as usual. Growing significantly over the past 12-18 months without sacrificing profits for record revenues, CPNE, from our standpoint has not given us much of a reason to expect a Q1 '07 let down.

In recent weeks, the majority of concern has stemmed from a lack of Q1 financial guidance and recent block selling of shares at the $1.90 mark. Firstly, CPNE's recently filed SEC filing sheds light on the highly publicized and heavily speculated block sales back in February. Here is a link to said filing:

(http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1028070/000135448807000325/filing_532.htm)

A quick peek at the filing shows that the majority of accumulation was done by JLF Partners I, L.P., JLF Partners II, L.P., and JLF Offshore Fund, Ltd.,. (CPNE brass sold 3mil + shares @ $1.90). Taking into consideration CPNE's historical growth and a lack of indicators that a slowdown is inevitable, we feel that JLF (in any capacity) is pretty unlikely to unload at current levels (trading @ $2.17 as of 12:41 EST). I'd wager they had larger gains in mind when executing this transaction and were convinced of CPNE's longer term growth potential and relative stability before pulling the trigger.

editors note: It also appears that Mr. Feinman of JLF purchased shares for his IRA account. A very positive statement of his belief in the company.

In addition, it appears that many warrant holders have filed to convert them into Rule 144 restricted shares. This process is not unhealthy in any way as these shares can not be sold for another 12 months and many of these holders have worked closely with the company over the years and would not likely to sell in high volume at current levels.

Over the past few weeks, it has become evident that a tough market can make even the most poised trader liquidate, some or even all of their small cap portfolio, however, pending any meltdown of the broader market, it is hard to imagine these holders selling off CPNE in a major way for the time being.

Q1: Keeping Up the Pace?

Although we have heard grumblings that since CPNE has not yet released too much guidance regarding Q1 performance other than letting us know that its Consumer Loyalty Group (CLG) subsidiary experienced record growth in January, a few key factors have us very optimistic that Q1 numbers will not disappoint.

First of all, the potential "sell off" expected by some Monday morning did not go down. This should provide at least a bit of credence to the belief that February's block sales were not toxic in nature. Good move on the behalf of management giving investors a few days to digest the SEC filing before a potential market nightmare today.

Next, although there is no direct correlation that we know of between a high web traffic rating on tracking sites such as Alexa.com and revenue growth, CPNE's onlinesupplier.com segment has experienced an 85% increase in global Internet traffic over the past three months. No matter how you slice it, 85% more potential customers accessing your site is extremely positive. Here's a link to Alexa.com that you may find useful:

(http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details?q=Onlinesupplier.com&url=www.onlinesupplier.com)

As mentioned above, Consumer Loyalty Group, Inc. has blossomed as of late; enrolling an all-time monthly record of 91,729 paid memberships for January 2007. According to management, this growth "represented another astounding month- over-month increase in memberships from December of over 25% and over 90% from November".

Another look at CPNE's web traffic log shows that while a bit more that one-half (51.8%) of onlinesupplier.com's web traffic comes from the US, close to half comes from international visitors. This is very positive when taking into consideration management's stated dedication to global growth and also the fact that CPNE's expansion, thus far, has been largely driven by domestic business. A wider geographic reach should have provided a new avenue for growth in Q1 and should continue to moving forward.

In upcoming editions we will outline in great detail, CPNE's potential for growth in Q2 and beyond. For now though, we suggest taking a close look at how far his company has come in just over a year and developing your own opinion on what the future holds. We think you'll like what you uncover.

Need a little assistance? Check out our CPNE portal, courtesy of MSP!

http://www.microstockprofit.com/Companies/Company6.stgx







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Monday, March 12, 2007

CPNE: Growth Continues, Stock Still Remains Volatile

When I first laid eyes on the company now known as Commerce Planet Inc. (OTCBB: CPNE), then NeWave Inc., I was about as optimistic of the organization's future as I now am of my beloved Boston Celtics. At a share price of $.22, the organization was in the red and had seen better days in the market. I feared the worst may have yet to come.

Boy was I wrong. After a long discussion with CEO Michael Hill back in early 2005, I was schooled on his strategy for rapid growth and was quickly transformed into a believer. Mr. Hill understood e-commerce, new media, and most importantly his own business model. More so than many C-level executives representing larger, tier-one organizations that I had the pleasure of working in conjunction with prior to my meeting with Michael.

My mind was changed and my corporate revenue estimates for 2006 and 2010 were set at $14.6 million & $23.1 million respectively in a research profile issued soon thereafter.
2010 Estimates Surpassed by More Than $4mil in '06!

Reporting consolidated 2006 revenues of $27.5 million and boasting a healthy stock price currently trading in the $2 to $3 dollar range (a potential discount nonetheless), it appears that my initial gauging of CPNE's growth was way off.

Announcing recently that not only have revenues increased again for the 5th consecutive quarter & profits for the 4th consecutive, but also that the company logged $8.7 million in 2006 profits (vs. a net loss of $6.3 mil in '05), CPNE, despite its monumental growth remains grossly undervalued in today's market. Closing today at $2.25, a far cry from its 52 week peak of $3.48, CPNE's fundamentals remain unchanged as rapid growth surges on.
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Undervalued, but by how much?
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Commerce Planet reported earnings per share (EPS) of 20 cents per share for 2006. Assuming a P/E ratio of only 15, which we all know is very low, versus an industry average of greater than 25, we have a $3 stock on our hands. At an industry average we are looking at a $5 stock. BUT, and this is a BIG BUT, Commerce Planet has proven that it is anything but average. Share price gains of nearly 1000% and profit increases in excess of 240% over 12-18 months are far from average, don't you agree?

Re-branding in 2006 a Smashing Success

CPNE's business model has blossomed into a self-sustaining revenue generating machine that continues to provide record gains. Following through successfully on 2006 strategic initiatives that placed strict focus on developing and acquiring synergistic businesses, CPNE fortified its offering with the addition of three new business segments that significantly contributed to recent growth and are expected to do so even more in the future. For the record, the new segments are Legacy Media, Interaccurate, Inc. & OS Imaging Inc.

2007 & Beyond

Commerce Planet has launched into '07 with stellar news that has been highlighted by such monumental announcements as a corporate stock repurchase plan, retention of a highly esteemed Merger & Acquisition firm (Sheppard Mullin Richter & Hampton, LLP), engagement of two investment banking organizations (Roth Capital Partners & Craig-Hallum Capital Group) and, last but not least, the BOOMING success of its Consumer Loyalty Group (CLG) business segment.

Outlining increased demand for its products in Business to Business (B2B) environments, international expansion, and the growth of new business segments/products as key drivers for continued financial progress, CPNE's core businesses continue to thrive as well.

With the investment community anxiously awaiting further guidance regarding CPNE's success thus far in fiscal 2007, the ensuing days may be your last chance to acquire in this price range. In my opinion, if Commerce Planet is able to maintain its current level of growth and obtain a listing on a more senior exchange, the best gains have yet to come for investors, even those who got in at the ground level.

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