Federal National Mortgage Association (NYSE: FNM)
Federal National Mortgage Association (FNM), also known as “Fannie Mae,” is a government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) chartered by the U.S. Congress to support liquidity and stability in the secondary mortgage market, where mortgage loans are purchased and sold. The Company participates in the secondary mortgage market by purchasing mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities for its mortgage portfolio. It also makes other investments that increase the supply of affordable housing. The Company is organized in three business segments: Single-Family Credit Guaranty, Housing and Community Development (HCD) and Capital Markets. The Single-Family Credit Guaranty segment securitizes single-family mortgage loans into Fannie Mae mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and facilitates the purchase of single-family mortgage loans for the Company’s mortgage portfolio. The Housing and Community Development segment securitizes multifamily mortgage loans into Fannie Mae MBS and facilitates the purchase of multifamily mortgage loans for the Company’s mortgage portfolio. This segment also invests in rental and for-sale housing projects. The Capital Markets segment manages the Company’s investment activity in mortgage loans, mortgage-related securities, debt financing activity, and liquidity and capital positions. The Company’s customers include mortgage banking companies, savings and loan associations, savings banks, commercial banks, credit unions, community banks, insurance companies, and state and local housing finance agencies.
Fannie Mae was founded in 1938 and is based in Washington, the District of Columbia.
| Share Statistics (3-Jun-10) | FY
2007 |
FY
2008 |
%
Chg |
Q4 2008 | Q4 2009 | %
Chg |
||
| Symbol | FNM | Revenue, $Mn | 43.4B | 22.7B | 47.7% | n/a | 9.26B | n/a |
| Current price | $0.94 | Gross marg. | 8.1% | 17.8% | 54.5% | n/a | 39.8% | n/a |
| 52wk Range: | $2.13-0.51 | Oper. margin | -11.5% | -103.3% | 798.3% | n/a | -166.5% | n/a |
| Avg Vol (3m): | 28,809,900 | Net margin | -4.6% | -136.1% | 2558% | n/a | -163.9% | n/a |
| Market Cap. | 1.05B | |||||||
| Dil. Shares Outst. | 1.1B | EPS, $ | -2.62 | -23.88 | 811.5% | 0.00 | -2.58 | n/a |
Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.
Financial Summary
| Financial Strength (3-Jun-2010) | Company | Industry | Sector | S&P 500 |
| Quick Ratio (MRQ) | – | 1.33 | 3.41 | 0.80 |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | – | 1.34 | 6.26 | 0.96 |
| Long-Term Debt to Equity (MRQ) | – | 368.77 | 90.48 | 133.65 |
| Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) | – | 463.08 | 226.93 | 199.98 |
Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.
Analyst Consensus
| Buy | Outperform | Hold | Underperform | Sell | No Opinion |
This is the consensus forecast amongst two polled investment analysts. Against the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) company.
| Analyst Detail | Buy | Outperform | Hold | Underperform | Sell | No Opinion |
| Latest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 weeks ago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 months ago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 months ago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Last year | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Source: www.ft.com
Consensus Estimates Analysis
| # of Estimates | Mean | High | Low | 1 Year Ago | |
| EARNINGS (per share) | |||||
| Year Ending Dec-10 | 1 | -6.90 | -6.90 | -6.90 | – |
Source: http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/financialHighlights?symbol=FNM
Investment Highlights
FNM Prices New Issue 2-Year Benchmark Notes due July 30, 2012
| 2-Year | ||
| Pricing Date | June 3, 2010 | |
| Settlement Date | June 7, 2010 | |
| Maturity Date | July 30, 2012 | |
| Issue Size | $5.0 billion | |
| Coupon | 1.125% | |
| Price | 99.975 | |
| Yield | 1.137% | |
| Payment Dates | Each July 30th and January 30th, beginning July 30, 2010 | |
| Spread | +30 basis points / 0.750% 05/31/12 U.S. Treasury | |
| CUSIP | 31398AT77 | |
| Listing | Application will be made to list the securities on the EuroMTF market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange | |
Banc of America Securities, Goldman Sachs & Co., and UBS Securities LLC are the joint-lead managers. The co-managers include, Citigroup Global Markets Inc., FTN Financial Capital Markets, Loop Capital Markets, J.P. Morgan & Co., Nomura Securities International Inc. and Samuel A. Ramirez & Co. Inc.
FNM exists to expand affordable housing and bring global capital to local communities in order to serve the U.S. housing market. FNM has a federal charter and operates in America’s secondary mortgage market to enhance the liquidity of the mortgage market by providing funds to mortgage bankers and other lenders so that they may lend to home buyers.
FNM will redeem the principal amounts indicated for the following securities issues on the redemption dates indicated below at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount redeemed, plus accrued interest thereon to the date of redemption:
| Principal
Amount |
Security
Type |
Interest
Rate |
Maturity Date | CUSIP | Redemption Date | |
| $50,000,000 | MTN | 4.750% | June 11, 2019 | 3136FHB61 | June 11, 2010 | |
| $500,000,000 | MTN | 1.900% | March 11, 2013 | 31398AH21 | June 11, 2010 | |
Source: http://www.fanniemae.com/
Technical Analysis
Source: http://stockcharts.com
FNM is below its 50-day moving average. This bearish sign is even more significant because the moving average is also trending lower.
FNM is trading within its Bollinger Bands. This is a normal condition and suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold relative to the recent price action.
FNM’s MACD is currently indicating a weak bullish signal. Although the MACD is trending above the signal line, the indicator is still below zero, which suggests that the underlying moving averages are bearish.
Comparative Analysis
| Company Name | Ticker | Price per | Mrkt. Cap. | P/E | P/S | ||
| Jun-3-2010 | symbol | Share, $ | $ Mn | 2010 | 2011 | 2010 | 2011 |
| Freddie Mac | FRE | 1.21 | 784.54M | n/a | n/a | 0.02 | n/a |
| Federal Agricultural Mort. Corp. | AGM | 15.74 | 159.66M | 1.95 | n/a | 0.51 | n/a |
| Tree.com Inc. | TREE | 6.86 | 76.87M | n/a | n/a | 0.35 | n/a |
| Consumer Financial Median | 340.35M | n/a | n/a | 0.88 | n/a | ||
| Fannie Mae | FNM | 0.94 | 1.05B | n/a | n/a | 0.03 | n/a |
Source: Thomson Financial
http://www.thomson.com/financial/financial.jsp
Insider Trading Activity
| NET SHARES PURCHASE ACTIVITY
Inside Purchases – Last 6 Months |
||
| Shares | Transaction | |
| Purchases | n/a | 0 |
| Sales | n/a | 0 |
| Net Shares Purchased (Sold) | n/a | 0 |
| Total Insider Shares Held | 212K | n/a |
| % Net Shares Purchased (Sold) | 0.0% | n/a |
| Net Institutional Purchases — Prior Qtr to Latest Qtr | |
| Shares | |
| Net Shares Purchased (Sold) | (107,715,000) |
| % Change in Institutional Shares Held | (177.2%) |
http://www.thomson.com/financial/financial.jsp
Source: Yahoo Finance
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